New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Pick
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Minnesota Twins moneyline (+102.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $7272.00

$3,600.00 Pick documented: Monday, 17 Jul 2017 12:33 PM

pick locked in 10 days ago


8:10 PM EST. Lots of moving parts here. First, the Yanks are in a letdown series after four at Boston over the weekend, including a double-header yesterday. Secondly, the Yanks have been struggling for well over a month with one of the worst W/L records in baseball. Aside from all that, you’ll pay to back the Yankees against any team not named Houston or Boston mainly because Aaron Judge is now the face of MLB with every network trying to turn him into a superstar in his rookie year. At the All-Star game, 40 reporters were around Judge at all times while two or fewer reporters were around everyone else. In any case, this is a very decent spot to fade the Yanks with Bryan Mitchell starting.

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Mitchell has appeared in 12 games this season but this will be his first start, which is a completely different mindset. He’s only thrown 16 innings all year, which also puts him a step behind every player. That’s another disadvantage he’ll have to try and overcome. Mitchell threw just 25 innings for the Yanks last season. This hard-throwing righty with a groundball tilt was set to open in the Yanks pen last year but a fractured toe intervened in late March and he didn’t pitch until August. A starter for most of his career, he held his own on paper in five September starts but he had poor peripherals. He still does. Mitchell’s shaky control and weak swing and miss rate tab him as a middle reliever and not the chalk in his first start of the year on the road, no less.

In 65 frames covering 13 starts, Adalberto Mejia has a 4-4 record with a 4.43 ERA. However, if you take out one start against the Mariners in which he was tagged for nine runs in 3.2 innings, his numbers would look a whole lot better. In fact, in 11 of his 13 starts, Mejia has allowed three earned runs or less. In his final two starts in June on the road at Boston and Cleveland, Mejia did not allow a single run. He’s also getting stretched out more. In his first nine starts, the Twins had him on a 90-pitch count but he’s thrown over 100 pitches in three of his last four starts. There are other redeeming qualities as well. Mejia’s 18% line-drive rate (16% over his last three starts) is well below the league average of 21%. His WHIP, K-rate and swing and miss stuff are all trending in the right direction too. The Twinkies are bringing him along slowly and it appears to be working. This prospect with decent repertoire and pitchability was shut down last season shortly after late-Aug MLB debut due to innings limit. Mejia had an impressive 3.00 ERA, 126/30 K/BB in 132 IP at AA/AAA levels and he seems to be figuring it out at this level now. Target Field should be hopping tonight and the Twinkies should not be a dog here.




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SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip New York Yankees -1.5 +102.0 10.0
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Minnesota Twins +1.5 -102.0

This is the Consensus Fair Line.   what is the Fair Line?


B. Mitchell -R vs A. Mejia -L



Game time: Monday 7/17, 8:10 PM


New York Yankees 2 FINAL
Minnesota Twins 4


Jump to Charts



Payout Information


points adjust ML Over/Under adjust
New York Yankees -1.5 +153.0 +102.0 10.0 over -114.0
Minnesota Twins +1.5 -153.0 -102.0 10.0 under 114.0

A $100 Moneyline bet on New York Yankees +102.0 cashes for $202.00
A $100 Moneyline bet on Minnesota Twins -102.0 cashes for $198.04
A $100 Points Spread bet on New York Yankees -1.5 cashes for $253.00
A $100 Points Spread bet on Minnesota Twins +1.5 cashes for $165.36
A $100 Over bet on the total points 10.0 cashes for $187.72
A $100 Under bet on the total points 10.0 cashes for $214.00




Line Moves For New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins

Monday 7/17, 8:10 PM EST


Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip New York Yankees +102.0 Moneyline Moves


New York Yankees MONEYLINE payout currently is $202.00 for a $100 bet. New York Yankees MONEYLINE payout has increased $11.91 versus when the line first opened.

If you like New York Yankees on the MONEYLINE, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. The question is will this chart improve even more or should you bet it now?

These MONEYLINE odds imply New York Yankees a 50% chance of winning. If you think New York Yankees chances of winning are better than 50% then betting New York Yankees on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Minnesota Twins -102.0 Moneyline Moves


Minnesota Twins MONEYLINE payout currently is $198.04 for a $100 bet. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $211.00.

These MONEYLINE odds imply Minnesota Twins a 50% chance of winning. If you think Minnesota Twins chances of winning are better than 50% then betting Minnesota Twins on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip New York Yankees -1.5 Points Spread Line Moves


If you like New York Yankees with the POINTS SPREAD, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. Will the spread for New York Yankees get even better as the game gets closer is the question?






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Minnesota Twins +1.5 Points Spread Line Moves


If you like Minnesota Twins with the POINTS SPREAD, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. Will the spread for Minnesota Twins get even better as the game gets closer is the question?






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip New York Yankees at
Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Minnesota Twins Total Points +10.0 Line Moves


There has never been a better time to take the UNDER at 10.0 if you like it. The TOTAL POINTS hasn't moved at all, so this also means...

If you like the OVER at 10.0, there has never been a better time to take it.








When the moneyline is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting against that team and the oddsmakers are increasing the payout so more people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team negativly.

  • Whenever the moneyline is moving up you get paid more if you win.

When the moneyline is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the payout.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team positively. This positive information decreases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving up it usually means

  • The public is betting on the other team and the oddsmakers are giving this team more points so people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team negativly. This negative information increases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the points for that team.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team positively.


When the over/under is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on a high score.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring more scoring.


When the over/under is moving down it usually means

  • The public is betting on a low scoring game.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring less scoring.





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