Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Pick
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Texas Rangers (+1.5) L

$3,600.00 Pick documented: Monday, 17 Jul 2017 12:38 PM

pick locked in 9 days ago


There figures to be an avalanche of runs scored here because this might be the worst pitching matchup in terms of skills in the past 50 years or more. Chris Tillman versus Andrew Cashner would make Marco Estrada versus James Shields look like Clayton Kershaw versus Max Scherzer. Again, there will a bevy of scoring opportunities and with the Rangers being on the road and in better form than the Orioles, we’ll gladly side with them.

Cashner's 2017 stats (e.g., a 3.54 ERA) have been far better than his skills report (5.35 xERA). With a paltry 4.3 K’s/9 entering this start and overall poor command (81 IP - 36 BB - 41 K’s), only a 50% groundball rate and a 77% strand rate have saved Cashner to this point. Add in no pure quality starts and nearly half pure disaster starts and unless things turn around quickly from a skills standpoint, it won't be long before Cashner's sub-4 ERA is history. That said, hopefully every pitcher in that Texas dugout watched Jose Quintana masterfully dominate the free swinging Orioles. Quintana’s effort yesterday should be must watch film for every pitcher that faces the Orioles. You see, Baltimore’s feast or famine lineup will get themselves out by swinging at everything. No team in baseball swings at pitches outside the zone more than the O’s. Now that they’re gripping the bats a little tighter, even a stiff like Cashner has a slight chance to go five full and allow four runs or less. We’ll take an effort like that because Chris Tillman should be nowhere near a pitching mound.

In 2016, Chris Tillman started strong with 2.87 ERA in his first 14 games but things quickly unraveled. His whiffs fell back to his career norms as his velocity diminished from April to October taking his command from passable to poor and leading to 4.64 ERA over his final 16 games. Things have gone from bad to worse this year. Tillman’s shoulder issues resurfaced this past spring, forcing him to miss all of April. The results have been disastrous (7.90 ERA, 2.14 WHIP) through his first 11 starts. Never a control artist, Tillman hasn't been able to hit water from a boat in 2017. An awful 50% first-pitch strike rate and 42% Ball% assures us that he’ll continue to pitch into favorable hitting counts. In a year when most velocities are up, Tillman's has sunk. A meager 8% swing and miss rate says the soft-tossing strikeout rate (36 K’s in 49 IP) is here to stay. This type of skills collapse typically reeks of a hidden injury and given Tillman's April shoulder issues, it's likely that something still isn't right with his arm. Dude is a mess with a 6.96 xERA and a 31%/31% groundball/line-drive split. With a fourth straight year of poor xERA’s, a drop in velocity, and inability to throw strikes or miss bats, Tillman is pure fade material right now and it sure doesn’t hurt that the O’s are coming off a weekend in which they got their heads bashed in by the Cubbies. The Rangers might do the same.

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SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Texas Rangers +1.5 +109.0 11.0
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Baltimore Orioles -1.5 -109.0

This is the Consensus Fair Line.   what is the Fair Line?


A. Cashner -R vs C. Tillman -R



Game time: Monday 7/17, 7:05 PM


Texas Rangers 1 FINAL
Baltimore Orioles 3


Jump to Charts



Payout Information


points adjust ML Over/Under adjust
Texas Rangers +1.5 -162.0 +109.0 11.0 over 104.0
Baltimore Orioles -1.5 162.0 -109.0 11.0 under -104.0

A $100 Moneyline bet on Texas Rangers +109.0 cashes for $209.00
A $100 Moneyline bet on Baltimore Orioles -109.0 cashes for $191.74
A $100 Points Spread bet on Texas Rangers +1.5 cashes for $161.73
A $100 Points Spread bet on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 cashes for $262.00
A $100 Over bet on the total points 11.0 cashes for $204.00
A $100 Under bet on the total points 11.0 cashes for $196.15




Line Moves For Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles

Monday 7/17, 7:05 PM EST


Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Texas Rangers +109.0 Moneyline Moves


Texas Rangers MONEYLINE payout currently is $209.00 for a $100 bet. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $216.00.

These MONEYLINE odds imply Texas Rangers a 48% chance of winning. If you think Texas Rangers chances of winning are better than 48% then betting Texas Rangers on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Baltimore Orioles -109.0 Moneyline Moves


Baltimore Orioles MONEYLINE payout currently is $191.74 for a $100 bet. Baltimore Orioles MONEYLINE payout has increased $5.54 versus when the moneyline first opened. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $196.15.

These MONEYLINE odds imply Baltimore Orioles a 52% chance of winning. If you think Baltimore Orioles chances of winning are better than 52% then betting Baltimore Orioles on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Texas Rangers +1.5 Points Spread Line Moves


If you like Texas Rangers with the POINTS SPREAD, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. Will the spread for Texas Rangers get even better as the game gets closer is the question?






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Baltimore Orioles -1.5 Points Spread Line Moves


If you like Baltimore Orioles with the POINTS SPREAD, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. Will the spread for Baltimore Orioles get even better as the game gets closer is the question?






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Texas Rangers at
Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Baltimore Orioles Total Points +11.0 Line Moves


The best time to take the OVER was when the total was at 10.5.

There has never been a better time to take the UNDER at 11.0 if you like it.








When the moneyline is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting against that team and the oddsmakers are increasing the payout so more people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team negativly.

  • Whenever the moneyline is moving up you get paid more if you win.

When the moneyline is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the payout.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team positively. This positive information decreases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving up it usually means

  • The public is betting on the other team and the oddsmakers are giving this team more points so people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team negativly. This negative information increases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the points for that team.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team positively.


When the over/under is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on a high score.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring more scoring.


When the over/under is moving down it usually means

  • The public is betting on a low scoring game.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring less scoring.





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